Source: Cibiyar bincike na waje-waje da jigilar kayayyaki na kasashen waje da aka tsara daga masana'antar jigilar kaya, da sauransu.
A cewar Hukumar Kula da Kasuwanci ta Kasa (NRF), shigo da kaya daga Amurka zai ci gaba da raguwa zuwa akalla kashi na farko na 2023. Kayayyakin da ake shigo da su a manyan tashoshin jiragen ruwa na Amurka suna raguwa a wata-wata bayan tashinsu a watan Mayu 2022.
Ci gaba da raguwar shigo da kayayyaki zai haifar da "lull lokacin hunturu" a manyan tashoshin jiragen ruwa yayin da dillalai ke auna hannun jari da aka gina tun da farko sabanin rage buƙatun mabukaci da tsammanin 2023.
Ben Hacker, wanda ya kafa Hackett Associates, wanda ya rubuta rahoton Global Port Tracker na wata-wata na NRF, ya annabta: “Shigo da adadin jigilar kaya a tashoshin da muke rufewa, gami da manyan tashoshin jiragen ruwa na Amurka 12, sun riga sun ragu kuma za su ragu cikin shida masu zuwa. watanni zuwa matakan da ba a gani cikin dogon lokaci ba."
Ya lura cewa duk da kyawawan alamomin tattalin arziki, ana sa ran koma baya. Haɓakar farashin Amurka ya yi yawa, Tarayyar Tarayya ta ci gaba da haɓaka ƙimar riba, yayin da tallace-tallacen tallace-tallace, aiki da GDP duk sun karu.
NRF tana tsammanin shigo da kwantena zai faɗi da kashi 15% a farkon kwata na 2023. A halin yanzu, hasashen kowane wata na Janairu 2023 yana ƙasa da 8.8% ƙasa da na 2022, zuwa 1.97 miliyan TEU. Ana tsammanin wannan raguwar zai haɓaka zuwa 20.9% a cikin Fabrairu, a 1.67 miliyan TEU. Wannan shine matakin mafi ƙanƙanta tun watan Yuni 2020.
Yayin da shigo da kayayyaki na bazara yawanci ke karuwa, ana sa ran shigo da kayayyaki za su ci gaba da raguwa. NRF yana ganin raguwar 18.6% na shigo da kaya a cikin Maris na shekara mai zuwa, wanda zai daidaita a cikin Afrilu, inda ake sa ran raguwar 13.8%.
Jonathan Gold, mataimakin shugaban NRF na samar da kayayyaki ya ce "Masu sayar da kayayyaki suna cikin tashin hankali na shekara-shekara, amma tashoshin jiragen ruwa suna shiga cikin lokacin hunturu bayan mun shiga daya daga cikin mafi yawan shekaru kuma mafi kalubale da muka gani," in ji Jonathan Gold, mataimakin shugaban NRF na samar da kayayyaki. manufofin kwastam.
"Yanzu ne lokacin da za a kammala kwangilar ma'aikata a tashoshin jiragen ruwa na Yammacin Kogin yamma da kuma magance matsalolin samar da kayayyaki don haka 'kwantar da hankali' na yanzu ba ya zama kwanciyar hankali kafin hadari."
NRF ta yi hasashen cewa shigo da kayayyaki na Amurka a cikin 2022 zai yi kusan daidai da na 2021. Yayin da adadin da aka yi hasashen ya ragu da kusan 30,000 TEU a bara, ya ragu sosai daga karuwar rikodin a 2021.
NRF na tsammanin watan Nuwamba, lokacin da aka saba aiki don masu siyar da kaya su tattara kaya a cikin minti na ƙarshe, don sanya raguwar wata-wata na wata na uku a jere, faɗuwar 12.3% daga Nuwamban bara zuwa 1.85 miliyan TEU.
Wannan zai zama mafi ƙarancin matakin shigo da kaya tun watan Fabrairu 2021, in ji NRF. Ana sa ran Disamba zai koma baya a jere, amma har yanzu ya ragu da 7.2% daga shekarar da ta gabata a 1.94 miliyan TEU.
Manazarta sun yi nuni da karuwar kudaden da masu amfani da su ke kashewa kan ayyuka baya ga damuwa game da tattalin arziki.
A cikin shekaru biyu da suka gabata, kashe kuɗin masarufi ya kasance akan kayan masarufi. Bayan fuskantar jinkirin sarkar kayayyaki a cikin 2021, dillalai suna haɓaka kaya a farkon 2022 saboda suna tsoron yajin tashar jiragen ruwa ko layin dogo na iya haifar da jinkiri kamar 2021.
Lokacin aikawa: Janairu-30-2023
